6:41 PM 11/5/2017 – Paradise Papers

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Paradise Papers

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The Paradise Papers is a major new leak of documents from two offshore services firms based in Bermuda and Singapore, as well as from 19 corporate registries maintained by governments in secret offshore jurisdictions. The documents were obtained by the Süddeutsche Zeitung and shared with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ), which organized a collaborative investigation with dozens of outlets across the world, including the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project (OCCRP).

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Paradise Papers: Commerce chief Wilbur Ross’s links with sanctioned Russians – BBC News

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Paradise Papers: Commerce chief Wilbur Ross’s links with sanctioned Russians
BBC News
A top member of Donald Trump’s administration has business links with Russian allies of President Vladimir Putin who are under US sanctions, the Paradise Papers have revealed. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has an interest in Navigator Holdings, …
Paradise Papers: Leaks Show Wilbur Ross Hid Ties to Putin CroniesNBCNews.com
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The Paradise Papers: Kremlin Cash Behind Billionaire’s Twitter and Facebook Investments
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Over several years, Gazprom Investholding and a subsidiary made hundreds of millions of dollars in loans to a company called Kanton Services, according to records from the Panama Papers, the trove of leaked documents from the law firm Mossack Fonseca …
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Kremlin Cash Behind Billionaire’s Twitter and Facebook Investments

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Paradise Papers: Commerce chief Wilbur Ross’s links with sanctioned Russians

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A top member of Donald Trump’s administration has business links with Russian allies of President Vladimir Putin who are under US sanctions, the Paradise Papers have revealed.

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has an interest in Navigator Holdings, which earns millions a year transporting oil and gas for Russian energy firm Sibur.

Two major Sibur shareholders are under some form of US sanctions.

A commerce department spokesman did not dispute the revelations.

“Secretary Ross recuses himself from any matters focused on transoceanic shipping vessels,” the spokesman told BBC Panorama, adding that the secretary “works closely with Commerce Department ethics officials to ensure the highest ethical standards”.

Another Sibur shareholder is President Putin’s son in law, Kirill Shamalov.

He holds a 3.9% stake in the firm. Gennady Timchenko, who has been individually sanctioned by the United States, as have at least 12 companies connected to him, and Leonid Mikhelson, whose main company, Novatek, is also sanctioned, are major shareholders.

Sibur itself and Mr Shamalov are not under sanctions, although Mr Shamalov’s father, Nikolai, is.

The commerce department spokesman said Mr Ross had never met the three Russian shareholders.

The US imposed some sanctions after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014. Others were imposed last year for alleged interference in the US presidential election.

The revelations will again raise questions about the Russian connections of Donald Trump’s team. His presidency has been dogged by allegations that Russians colluded to try to influence the outcome of the election. He has called the allegations “fake news”. A special counsel is investigating the matter.

Wilbur Ross and Donald Trump have known each other for more than a quarter of a century. Mr Ross played a key part in a prepackaged bankruptcy deal – deal agreed between a company and its creditors – for Mr Trump’s Atlantic City casino, the Taj Mahal, in the 1990s.

Trump biographer David Cay Johnston told BBC Panorama: “If it hadn’t been for Wilbur Ross, Donald Trump would not be in the White House.

Major client

WL Ross & Co, which was founded by Wilbur Ross, first invested in Navigator Holdings in 2011.

An investigation has revealed details of how Mr Ross retains a financial interest in Navigator Holdings via a number of companies in the Cayman Islands

Some of these Cayman companies were disclosed by Mr Ross when he became commerce secretary, but under the disclosure rules he did not have to declare his interest in Navigator Holdings.

Its annual report in 2016 showed 31.5% was still held by entities in which Mr Ross has a stake, although the value of Mr Ross’s personal holding remains unclear.

When Trump met Ross

Back in 1990, after a high-profile financial battle, Donald Trump opened his third casino in Atlantic City – the Taj Mahal, dubbed the “eighth wonder of the world”.

It didn’t go well. Mr Trump financed it with $675m raised through junk bonds at an interest rate of 14%. He struggled to make the payments.

Step in Wilbur Ross. Then at Rothschild Inc, he was representing the angry bondholders but liked Donald Trump’s style.

Trump biographer David Cay Johnston said: “Wilbur Ross was a key negotiator in Donald Trump not having to go through bankruptcy and not being swept into the dustbin of history because he saw the value in the Trump name.”

Mr Ross said at this year’s Concordia Annual Summit: “When you meet people who are under tremendous financial pressure… you really get to see what they are made of, and he was made of much stronger stuff than a lot of owners of troubled businesses.”

One prepackaged bankruptcy later and The Donald was on his way out of debt and heading up the Forbes rich list.

Wilbur Ross became a board member of Navigator in 2012 but the commerce department said he was not on the board when Navigator signed its charter deal with Sibur that year.

But Mr Ross was still a board member during the period from March to November 2014, when the US was sanctioning Russians over the annexation of Crimea, including Mr Timchenko and Mr Mikhelson’s company, Novatek.

During that period Navigator continued to increase its business with Sibur. The energy firm accounted for 9.1% of Navigator’s total revenues in 2015, compared with 5.3% in 2014, Navigator’s own filings show.

Mr Ross left Navigator’s board in November 2014 but his seat was taken by Ross group partner Wendy Teramoto, who served on it until 2017.

Figures from 2016 showed Sibur was still among Navigator’s top five clients, predominantly exporting Russian gas to Europe and potentially providing significant income to sanctioned Putin allies.

This year, Navigator doubled the fleet it is using on Sibur exports to four. Sibur has provided Navigator with $68m (£49m) in revenue since 2014.

There is no suggestion Mr Ross has violated any rules.

But Daniel Fried, who oversaw the introduction of US sanctions against Russia under President Barack Obama, told Panorama that it would be a mistake for any American official to do business with Sibur.

“I would advise any client who came to me to stay well away from Sibur or anybody else who has been sanctioned or has a relationship with sanctioned individuals… on the grounds, at least, of reputational risk.”

But Mr Ross appears to have maintained a close relationship with the shipping company.

On the night that he was nominated as commerce secretary by President Trump, Mr Ross went to a restaurant in New York where he was congratulated on his promotion by the senior management of Navigator Holdings, Bloomberg reported.

Mr Ross reportedly told the CEO of Navigator: “Your interest is aligned to mine. The US economy will grow, and Navigator will be a beneficiary.”

Another key Navigator customer has been PDVSA, the Venezuelan state oil company. It was targeted by US sanctions this year.

The commerce department said Mr Ross had “been generally supportive of the Administration’s sanctions of Russian and other entities”.

The papers are a huge batch of leaked documents mostly from offshore law firm Appleby, along with corporate registries in 19 tax jurisdictions, which reveal the financial dealings of politicians, celebrities, corporate giants and business leaders.

The 13.4 million records were passed to German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung and then shared with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ). Panorama has led research for the BBC as part of a global investigation involving nearly 100 other media organisations, including the Guardian, in 67 countries. The BBC does not know the identity of the source.

Paradise Papers: Full coverage; follow reaction on Twitter using #ParadisePapers; in the BBC News app, follow the tag “Paradise Papers”

Watch Panorama on the BBC iPlayer (UK viewers only)

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′Paradise papers′ expose tax evasion schemes of the global elite | News | DW | 05.11.2017

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Reporters have unveiled some 13.4 million secret documents detailing evidence of tax evasion among high-ranking politicians and the super wealthy. Some in US President Donald Trump’s cabinet have been implicated.

Tax havens (Fotolia/Trueffelpix)

Some 400 reporters from 67 countries have scoured 13.4 million secret documents and uncovered tax-evasion techniques used by the super rich and high-ranking politicians, German media reported on Sunday.

The leaked data was obtained by German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung, which said that the majority of the documents stem from offshore law firm Appleby, which was founded in Bermuda but has offices in several other locations. The company reported last month that it had been hacked.

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bank of Cyprus – Google Search

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Cyprus Gave Manafort’s Bank Records to Mueller Team, Sources Say

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Palmer Report: How the mainstream media spent ten months shielding Wilbur Ross from the Trump-Russia scandal

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Today the mainstream media presented us with the “breaking news” that Donald Trump’s Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has financial connections to the Trump-Russia scandal. This is shocking – not because of the details that are being reported today, but because this is ten month old news. In fact, Palmer Report brought you the story ten months ago, not based on any inside sourcing, but based on publicly available evidence. So why on earth has the mainstream media been shielding Wilbur Ross all this time? Now that the media is finally acknowledging Ross’s role, where does it go from here?

Back in February, when Donald Trump tapped Wilbur Ross to be his Secretary of Commerce, Palmer Report pointed out that Ross was the vice chairman of Bank of Cyprus. This came just one month after Deutsche Bank had been busted by US and European regulators for laundering billions of dollars of Russian money through Bank of Cyprus into the hands of clients in places like New York City. In turn, Deutsche Bank has spent the past several years loaning suspiciously large amounts of money to Donald Trump, even though most other banks had concluded he was a poor credit risk.

These pieces were never difficult to put together. Wilbur Ross used the bank of Cyprus to help Russia launder money into the hands of Donald Trump, and Trump returned the favor by making Ross the Secretary of Commerce. Yet the mainstream media, with a very small number of notable exceptions like Rachel Maddow, never bothered to report that Ross was a key player in the Trump-Russia scandal.

There is no reason to believe that the mainstream media cares about the fate of Wilbur Ross. It’s not as if they’ve been shielding him from the scandal because they like him. Instead, it appears they just weren’t ready to begin reporting on this narrative until after the initial arrests began. Maybe they didn’t think it was ratings worthy until now. But they’ve chosen now for a reason. Maybe now we’ll finally get to the bottom of it.

The post How the mainstream media spent ten months shielding Wilbur Ross from the Trump-Russia scandal appeared first on Palmer Report.

 Palmer Report

Wilbur Ross News Review | 4:17 PM 11/5/2017 – Paradise Papers: Leaks Show Wilbur Ross Hid Ties to Putin Cronies

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Wilbur Ross    – You apparently do not have JavaScript enabled on your browser lest you would be viewing an RSS Feed here from <a href=”http://www.rssdog.com/”>RSS Dog</a> wilbur ross – Google Search Sunday November 5th, 2017 at 4:15 PM 1 Share – wilbur ross – Google Search Sunday November 5th, 2017 at 4:14 PM Wilbur Ross – Google News 1 Share … Continue reading “Wilbur Ross News Review | 4:17 PM 11/5/2017 – Paradise Papers: Leaks Show Wilbur Ross Hid Ties to Putin Cronies”

Michael Flynn Followed Russian Troll Accounts, Pushed Their Messages in Days Before Election

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wilbur ross – Google Search

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Russia struggles with legacy of 1917 Bolshevik Revolution

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Cambridge Analytica claims to be able to construct a precise “psychographic profile” of individuals from their social media posts, Facebook likes and internet use and says it was “instrumental” in Trump’s victory, “identifying supporters, persuading  

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Cambridge Analytica claims to be able to construct a precise “psychographic profile” of individuals from their social media posts, Facebook likes and internet use and says it was “instrumental” in Trump’s victory, “identifying supporters, persuading  

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Post Politics: Arriving in Japan, Trump projects confidence, says he’ll probably meet Putin during Asia trip 

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Arriving in Japan, Trump projects confidence, says he’ll probably meet Putin during Asia trip

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Palmer Report: As Robert Mueller closes in, Donald Trump announces one last desperate move involving Vladimir Putin

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It was the worst kept secret, because Donald Trump has gone far too senile to keep a secret, and kept publicly hinting at it. Now, one day after he departed for his twelve day overseas trip in Asia, Trump’s White House is making it official in a press release (link): he’ll be meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin during his Asia trip. The official excuse is to discuss North Korea – but we all know damn well what this is really about.

When the week began, Special Counsel Robert Mueller arrested Trump’s campaign chairman Paul Manafort and campaign adviser Rick Gates on criminal charges, while also announcing he already had a guilty plea from Trump campaign adviser George Papadopoulos. This set off a chaotic chain of events in which Trump campaign official Sam Clovis testified before a grand jury, Trump campaign adviser Carter Page voluntarily confessed to meeting with Russian officials during the election, and pretty much everyone asserted that Attorney General Jeff Sessions has been lying about the Trump-Russia conspiracy the entire time.

We all know why Donald Trump is suddenly meeting with Vladimir Putin. In fact it’s now fair to ask if Trump’s entire Asia trip was put together as nothing more than an excuse to get Trump and Putin in a room alone together. That way they can discuss how to handle the Trump-Russia scandal that’s suddenly become a Trump-Russia crisis. Manafort is a Russian financial puppet who could expose all of Putin’s dealings. Manafort also knows all of Trump’s secrets.

This meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin is now set to be one of the key moments of this entire saga – and perhaps of the century. The corrupt and illegitimate leaders of the United States and Russia will be desperately plotting to try to save themselves as everything collapses around them. Stay tuned.

The post As Robert Mueller closes in, Donald Trump announces one last desperate move involving Vladimir Putin appeared first on Palmer Report.

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1:01 PM 11/4/2017 – F.B.I. Said to Be Investigating Puerto Rico Power Contract 

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Putin’s trolls targeted America, not Hillary

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The Facebook ads placed by a Russian troll farm and released Wednesday show the Russian propaganda campaign of 2016 didn’t favor either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton. Instead, it mocked and goaded America.

This directly contradicts US intelligence assessments. “We assess Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 aimed at the US presidential election,” the assessment released in January stated. “Russia’s goals were to undermine public faith in the US democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency. We further assess Putin and the Russian government developed a clear preference” for Trump.

If the ads placed by the St. Petersburg Internet Research Agency, a troll collective linked to Yevgeny Prigozhin, a Kremlin-connected restaurateur, reflect the strategy of the influence campaign, the intelligence community was wrong. The ads backed white nationalist as well as black causes. They often targeted Clinton before the election but switched to attacking Trump afterward. The ads against both were even visually similar.

A conceivable defense of the intelligence conclusion is that you can’t interfere in the election after the voters have chosen, so only the anti-Clinton bias of the Russian campaign really made a difference. That argument is lame, however.

Neither the trolls with their tiny budgets (at best, hundreds of thousands of dollars compared with the hundreds of millions spent by the candidates and their US backers) nor Russian state media with their laughable reach could’ve hoped to shape the election outcome. That would assume they knew more about US-based influence tools than the entire US political industry.

Even today, the best Russian experts on the political uses of the social networks believe it would’ve been impossible to tip the scales. Leonid Volkov, an Internet entrepreneur and campaign manager to Putin’s No. 1 domestic foe Alexei Navalny, wrote on Facebook on Thursday:

“When people discuss, in all seriousness, ‘election interference’ by means of $100,000 worth of Facebook ads (hundreds of times less than the Clinton and Trump campaigns spent on FB ads), when leading political publications show as ‘proof’ hellish pictures the most viral of which garnered all of 200,000 views (and most got only a few thousand; 500 rubles — not thousand dollars, not even dollars — was spent on promoting some of them) . . . it is, above all, simply shameful.

“Darn, we got a total of 2 million views for our social network ads before a rally in Astrakhan, and it cost us 20,000 rubles.”

The trolls, on entry-level salaries of about $1,000 a month, are far less savvy than Navalny’s. The silly mistakes they made in their English — the misuse of modal verbs, the missing articles, the clumsy turns of phrase — are evidence they were the lowest of info-war foot soldiers.

They weren’t playing to win the election, just to stir things up. They weren’t Republicans or Democrats: These parties don’t operate in St. Petersburg. They were trolls, happy to make a dent here, create a disturbance there.

The campaign was not tied to election timelines: It’s permanent, and it will go on while the United States and Russia are adversaries. Elections and government changes that do nothing to alter the relationship between countries are just a useful background for propaganda, disinformation and sheer trollery because they politicize the audience and draw its attention to the divisive issues that propagandists exploit. Instability and confusion are the primary goals, and they’re easy to achieve on the cheap.

The Kremlin’s goal was not to promote either candidate. Though Putin made no secret of his special dislike for Clinton, he was never short-sighted enough to trust Trump — and no one in a position of power in Russia ever indicated that he did. The influence campaign’s real goal was to amplify America’s organic discord and undermine trust in institutions.

The hearings about the Facebook, Twitter and YouTube ads, with angry senators and squirming corporate lawyers hoping to avoid heavy-handed, misguided regulation, serve this purpose even better than the original ads did. US legislators look powerless; the Americans who were supposedly taken in by the cheap, badly made ads look ignorant.

US intelligence agencies look politicized and incapable of serious analysis, let alone an effective resistance, when it comes to Russian “active measures.”

The fit of US self-flagellation likely goes beyond the trolls’ and propagandists’ wildest dreams. A great nation, with the world’s best-funded and most professional media and an institutional framework other nations could only dream of, ought to be able to ignore the Russian propagandists’ pitiful, incompetent efforts.

©2017, Bloomberg View

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‘Very Frustrated’ Trump Becomes Top Critic of Law Enforcement

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Mr. Trump has made clear that he sees the attorney general and the F.B.I. director as his personal agents rather than independent figures, lashing out at both for not protecting him from the Russia investigation.

In May, he fired the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey, who later testified that he had refused Mr. Trump’s demands that he pledge loyalty and publicly declare that the president was not personally under investigation. In July, Mr. Trump told The New York Times that he would never have appointed Attorney General Jeff Sessions had he known that Mr. Sessions would recuse himself from overseeing the investigation.

While his lawyers have for now persuaded Mr. Trump not to publicly attack Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel, the president has not ruled out firing him, a scenario that other presidents facing special prosecutors considered virtually unthinkable. Asked on Friday whether he might fire Mr. Sessions if the attorney general does not investigate Democrats, Mr. Trump left open the prospect: “I don’t know,” he said.

The president’s Twitter posts and comments drew rebukes from Democrats and some Republicans. Former Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr., who served for six years under President Barack Obama, said Mr. Trump’s comments make the job of law enforcement officials more difficult.

“Combined with his improper attempts to influence Department of Justice actions, this demonstrates that he is a president who is willing to flout those norms that protect the rule of law,” Mr. Holder said in an interview.

Senator Bob Corker of Tennessee, a Republican who has broken with Mr. Trump, said the Justice Department should be free of political interference.

“President Trump’s pressuring of the Justice Department and F.B.I. to pursue cases against his adversaries and calling for punishment before trials take place are totally inappropriate and not only undermine our justice system but erode the American people’s confidence in our institutions,” he said.

Some conservatives defended Mr. Trump’s right to exercise oversight of the country’s law enforcement agencies, saying that it would be dangerous to have an attorney general and an F.B.I. director who were not answerable to elected leaders.

“The notion that law enforcement, in particular, is somehow to be insulated from political influences and therefore inevitably insulated from political accountability is a horribly dangerous idea from the standpoint of civil liberty,” said David B. Rivkin Jr., a White House and Justice Department lawyer under Presidents Ronald Reagan and George Bush.

However, Mr. Rivkin added, “That doesn’t mean you exercise your authority to direct those things in a crude and obscene fashion. You have to exercise some politesse about it.”

Other presidents have been criticized for political intervention when they spoke out about continuing criminal cases. Peter J. Wallison, who was the White House counsel under Reagan, said his president at times spoke out on cases of interest, including the investigation of Reagan’s onetime adviser Michael K. Deaver.

“I would try to discourage him, for all the good reasons people in the White House are probably trying to discourage Trump, but it was to no avail,” Mr. Wallison said. “Trump is doing the same, except to a greater extent.”

Mr. Wallison noted that Mr. Obama at times commented on investigations, recalling statements denying wrongdoing by the Internal Revenue Service when conservative groups found their tax exemptions targeted for scrutiny. “Presidents say these things because they are human beings and have emotions,” he said. “Nevertheless, there is little evidence that public statements have any effect on outcomes.”

Before Watergate, presidents were less reluctant to intervene in law enforcement. The administrations of Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson had the F.B.I. wiretap the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. President Richard M. Nixon had the bureau eavesdrop on the telephone calls of reporters.

But in the past four decades, no president has sought to publicly pressure law enforcement as much as Mr. Trump.

In a barrage of a dozen tweets on Thursday night and early Friday, Mr. Trump railed at law enforcement agencies for not investigating Democrats. He cited Tony Podesta — the brother of Hillary Clinton’s campaign chairman, John D. Podesta — who stepped down from his firm this week amid scrutiny of his lobbying business by Mr. Mueller. And he cited a book excerpt by Donna Brazile, the former interim Democratic National Committee chairwoman, who wrote that last year’s primaries were tilted by a fund-raising agreement that the committee made with Mrs. Clinton.

“I’m really not involved with the Justice Department,” Mr. Trump told reporters before leaving on a 12-day trip to Asia. “I’d like to let it run itself. But honestly, they should be looking at the Democrats. They should be looking at Podesta and all of that dishonesty. They should be looking at a lot of things. And a lot of people are disappointed in the Justice Department, including me.”

Earlier in the day, Mr. Trump tweeted that Mrs. Clinton “stole the Democratic Primary” from Bernie Sanders and asserted that there was “major violation of Campaign Finance Laws and Money Laundering.”

“At some point the Justice Department, and the FBI, must do what is right and proper,” Mr. Trump wrote.

“Everybody is asking why the Justice Department (and FBI) isn’t looking into all of the dishonesty going on with Crooked Hillary & the Dems,” he also tweeted.

Mr. Trump’s interest in directing law enforcement decisions extends beyond his political opposition but carries its own risk. The president’s support for capital punishment for the New York terrorism suspect, Sayfullo Saipov — “SHOULD GET DEATH PENALTY,” he tweeted — could pose problems for prosecutors and help defense lawyers who could argue that their client cannot get a fair trial.

Mr. Trump also weighed in again on Friday on the case of Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl, who pleaded guilty to desertion and endangering other troops by walking away from his base in Afghanistan and getting captured by the Taliban. Mr. Trump, who last year called Sergeant Bergdahl a “dirty rotten traitor” who should be executed, expressed outrage when a military judge on Friday gave the sergeant a dishonorable discharge but no jail time.

“The decision on Sergeant Bergdahl is a complete and total disgrace to our Country and to our Military,” Mr. Trump tweeted.

But Mr. Trump’s own outspokenness may have helped lead to the very result he was condemning. The judge did not explain his reasoning on Friday but last week said he would consider the president’s past comments as evidence for a lighter sentence.

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Page 2

The Sleazy Case Against Mueller’s Probe

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“Well before any public knowledge of these events,” Sipher notes, Steele’s report “identified multiple elements of the Russian operation including a cyber campaign, leaked documents related to Hillary Clinton, and meetings with Paul Manafort and other Trump affiliates to discuss the receipt of stolen documents. Mr. Steele could not have known that the Russians stole information on Hillary Clinton, or that they were considering means to weaponize them in the U.S. election, all of which turned out to be stunningly accurate.”

(After this column went to print, The Times reported that Trump foreign-policy adviser Carter Page met with Russian government officials in a July 2016 trip to Moscow, something he has long denied. This further confirms another claim made in the Steele dossier.)

There’s more of this, but you get the point: The suggestion that the Steele dossier has been discredited is discreditable to the point of being dishonest.

This brings us to the second anti-Mueller contention, which is that his indictment of former campaign chairman Paul Manafort for tax fraud connected to his political work in Ukraine, along with news of the guilty plea entered by Trump foreign policy adviser George Papadopoulos for lying to the F.B.I., is merely evidence of the slimness of the special counsel’s case.

The nonchalance about Manafort’s illicit ties to pro-Russian politicians in Ukraine is almost funny, coming from the same people who went berserk over China’s alleged meddling on behalf of Democrats in the 1996 presidential campaign.

But if nothing else, the Manafort indictment underscores the Trump campaign’s astonishing vulnerability to Russian blackmail.

Did that vulnerability explain the campaign’s bizarre intervention (denied by Manafort) to soften the Republican Party platform’s language on providing help to Ukraine?

Why did the campaign pursue a course of semi-secret outreach to Russia through George Papadopoulos, giving him just enough visibility to let the Russians know he was a player but not so much visibility as to attract much media attention?

What else about Trump’s obsequious overtures to the Kremlin might similarly be explained by the contents of the Steele dossier?

These questions require answers, which is what makes calls to remove Mueller from his job or have Trump pardon Manafort, Papadopoulos and even himself both strange and repugnant. Since when did conservatives suddenly become conveniently bored with getting to the bottom of Russian conspiracies?

As it turns out, they’re not bored. They just want the conspiracies to involve liberals.

Thus the third Trumpian claim: That the real scandal is that the Clinton campaign and Democratic National Committee paid for the Steele dossier. Somehow that’s supposed to add up to “collusion” between Clinton and the Russians, on the remarkable theory that Steele was merely retailing Kremlin-invented fables about Trump.

Yet how else was Steele supposed to investigate allegations of Russia’s ties to the Trump campaign except by talking to Russian sources with insight into the Kremlin? If Clinton was the beneficiary of the Kremlin’s designs, why did it leak her emails? And why would Putin favor the candidate most hostile to him in last year’s election but undermine the one who kept offering improved relations?

You already know the answers. The deeper mystery is why certain conservatives who were once Trump’s fiercest critics have become his most sophistical apologists. The answer to that one requires a mode of analysis more psychological than political.

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Donald Trump has two Hail Mary plays left — fire Mueller, or start war with North Korea: Burman

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Feeling cornered and under siege, an angry Donald Trump has embarked on a crucial trip to Asia, the longest foreign tour of his imploding presidency.

Increasingly, Trump is acting like a man who sees only two ways to survive. Given that, the only remaining question for him in his desperation may be this: “What should I do first?”

Will he fire Robert Mueller as the special counsel investigating Trump’s ties to Russia, which now seems only a matter of time, even though it is certain to trigger a constitutional crisis?

Or will he first try to regain popular support by risking a catastrophic nuclear war with North Korea, now closer than ever in the absence of any genuine diplomacy happening, even though it would inevitably result in hundreds of thousands of casualties?

This is a dangerous period in the turbulent Trump presidency, and for the world.

When the history books are written about this era, it is hard not to conclude that this week’s developments will loom large. This was the week we learned the first strong indications that — to put it in Trump’s vernacular — the jig is up.

The announcement from the Mueller team last Monday was a bombshell. Two senior Trump campaign officials have been indicted and a third Trump adviser has pleaded guilty. The 12-count indictment laid out the first charges in Mueller’s investigation into Russian efforts to interfere with last year’s U.S. election — including the headline charge of “conspiracy against the United States.”

Read more: Trump talks like a strongman. Good thing he’s governing like a weak man: Analysis

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Even as a tiny fraction of what the Mueller team now undoubtedly knows, the court filings drew a staggering portrait of how Trump’s world operated last year. It revealed how Russian intelligence successfully penetrated Trump’s campaign operation at different levels.

For several months, including during the Republican convention of last summer, Trump’s campaign was run by Paul Manafort, who operated in secret as a foreign agent of a regime friendly to Russia’s Vladimir Putin. Before Manafort joined Trump in an official capacity, the charges indicate he laundered tens of millions of dollars for the Ukrainian strongman Viktor Yanukovych.

Perhaps even more ominous for Trump is the unexpected guilty plea of former campaign foreign policy adviser George Papadopoulos — once described by Trump in an interview with The Washington Postas an “excellent guy.” Papadopoulos admitted to lying to the FBI about his attempts to set up meetings with Kremlin contacts in search of “dirt” on Hillary Clinton.

This week’s developments, as an opening volley from the Mueller team, provide an indication of what their strategy is. They are pressuring Manafort to co-operate and reveal what he knows about Trump’s role. They have already done a deal with Papadopoulos to tell them what he knows about who else was involved.

As Trump himself must know, it is widely accepted that Mueller has Trump’s tax returns in his possession. This means that Mueller’s team is able to pull together a complete picture of Trump’s financial relationship with Russians — including the years well before he announced for the presidency.

There have been numerous reports that Trump and his associates have been heavily financed by Russian oligarchs and mobsters, including those involved in money laundering, extortion, drugs and racketeering. If so, this would help explain why Trump has been so obsessively reluctant to be critical of Putin or of Russia since being elected president.

More than anyone, Trump would know the extent of his involvement with Russia — although Mueller, by now, may be a close second. Therein lies the danger for Trump. He knows that Mueller has the potential to destroying his presidency.

So — if you’re Trump — Mueller, somehow, has to be gotten rid of. The only question is when. Neither Trump nor his associates have ever acknowledged this, although Trump once described it as a “red line” if Mueller ever started examining his financial holdings. Mueller has certainly crossed that line.

It is widely accepted in Washington political circles that Trump is seeking an opportunity to fire Mueller. To this end, many of his media boosters at Fox News are working overtime in trying to come up with ways to discredit Mueller and his team.

Yes, the risks for Trump in this are enormous. Any firing of Mueller — not unlike the fabled “Saturday Night Massacre” by Richard Nixon in 1973 — would trigger a constitutional crisis. But in Trump’s mind, that would be a risk worth taking if the stark alternative — as a response to Mueller’s eventual findings — is impeachment.

This drama is only beginning.

Tony Burman is former head of Al Jazeera English and CBC News. Reach him @TonyBurman or at tony.burman@gmail.com.

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China Disputes Trump’s Claims Of Fentanyl ‘Flood’ Into United States

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Law enforcement agencies and drug control experts say most of the fentanyl distributed in the U.S., as well as precursor chemicals, originate from China.

Donald Trump has two Hail Mary plays left — fire Mueller, or start war with North Korea: Burman – Toronto Star

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Donald Trump has two Hail Mary plays left — fire Mueller, or start war with North Korea: Burman
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Donald Trump has two Hail Mary plays left — fire Mueller, or start war with North Korea: Burman. As he leaves on a … Former FBI Director Robert Mueller, seen here in an Oct. 28, 2013, file photo, has the potential to destroy Donald Trump’s teetering 
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What Donald Trump Thinks It Takes to Be a Man – New York Times

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Donald Trump is a new kind of old-school American man. In some ways, he’s a throwback to days when authority and power were exclusively white and male by definition, when displays of masculine entitlement were overt and unapologetic. But he’s also a …

Presidents of France and Russia Tackle Issues on Syria and Iran – Prensa Latina

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National Post
Presidents of France and Russia Tackle Issues on Syria and Iran
Prensa Latina
03 de noviembre de 2017, 16:47Paris, Nov 3 (Prensa Latina) French President Emmanuel Macron spoke by telephone with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, tackling issues on Syria, Iran and bilateral relations, said today sources from the Elysee 
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US Lobbyists Missed Red Flags in Manafort-linked Contracts

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Two U.S. firms caught up in the special counsel’s indictment against Paul Manafort claim to have been misled about the details of the former Trump campaign chairman’s lobbying efforts for Ukraine, but clear warning signals were readily available. Voice of America’s Ukrainian Service has turned up several U.S. and European news articles from 2007 to 2014, and spoken with Ukrainian politicians, that lay out connections between the Brussels-based non-profit that hired the firms and the then-ruling party in Ukraine — a key fact that the lobbying firms claim not to have known at the time. “Lobbyists should have examined available information carefully at the time of the engagement as a matter of know-your-client procedure,” said Gene Burd, a Washington-based international business partner with Arnall Golden Gregory LLP. He said the two firms — listed in the indictment as Company A and Company B, but recently identified as Mercury Public Affairs and The Podesta Group  —should also “have kept up with the changing management situation and sources of financing of the organization.” Manafort, who served as President Donald Trump’s campaign chairman for three months in 2016, was indicted in a U.S. federal court Monday on multiple charges including having failed to register as a lobbyist for a foreign government at a time when his firm was acting on behalf of then-Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych’s pro-Kremlin Party of Regions. The indictment describes that work as part of a “scheme” by Manafort and co-defendant Rick Gates to generate U.S. support for the party, which favored aligning Kyiv with Moscow instead of seeking European Union membership, as many Ukrainians advocated. The indictment says both lobbying groups were recruited by Manafort’s firm to act on behalf of a Brussels-based non-profit known as the European Center for a Modern Ukraine (ECFMU) from 2012 to 2014. It says the ECFMU was, in fact, a vehicle for advancing the interests of Yanukovych’s Party of Regions. Both firms deny that they knowingly engaged in an image-rehabilitation campaign for Yanukovych’s Party of Regions, as the indictment indicates. Their latest public statement reiterates their claim that they were led to believe they were working only for ECFMU, which they understood to be a pro-EU think tank that sought to inform U.S. government officials about Ukraine. Podesta Group CEO Kimberley Fritts told VOA’s Ukrainian Service in August 2016, when their undisclosed foreign lobbying efforts were first reported, that, relying on the opinion of in-house and external legal counsel, her organization lawfully represented ECFMU interests in the United States without registering under the U.S. Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA). “Because [our] firm was partnering with Mercury, [Podesta] in-house counsel coordinated with Mercury’s [in-house] counsel and Mercury’s outside legal counsel,” she was quoted as saying in an official statement emailed to VOA from the Podesta group. “Together, they concluded that LDA [Lobbying Disclosure Act] was the appropriate reporting route.” LDA registration is required of U.S. lobbyists representing business and non-governmental foreign interests such as cultural or educational organizations, whereas FARA’s more rigorous and legally binding registration disclosures are required to lobby on behalf of foreign governments or political parties. Fritts also told VOA that the two lobbying groups agreed to work for the ECFMU only after its director filed a written statement verifying that “none of the activities of the Center are directly or indirectly supervised, directed, controlled, financed or subsidized in whole or in part by a government of a foreign country or a foreign political party.” Former ECFMU director Ina Kirsch verified Fritts’ account of events, telling VOA that she personally assured Podesta and Mercury legal counsel that ECFMU “has never received any money from the Party of Regions, Ukrainian government or president,” and that it received funds from only private companies. Kirsch also said that ECFMU did not pay any money to the U.S. firms for their lobbying work. That claim is supported by Monday’s indictment, which states that “companies A and B,” which collectively received more than $2 million for their work, were paid not by the ECFMU, but from offshore bank accounts run by Manafort’s firm in Kyiv. “We believed [Manafort’s associate, Rick Gates, who introduced ECFMU to the Podesta Group] was working for [the ECFMU], as we were hired to do,” the Fritts statement said. However, an online search of news articles from 2007 to 2014 reveal Manafort’s role as Yanukovych’s principal strategist and identify the ECFMU as a vehicle of the Party of Regions. A 2007 New York Times report on then-prime minister Yanukovych, for example, portrayed Manafort as a “behind-the-scenes” impresario who had taken the “once divisive [Yanukovych], reviled by some [Ukrainians] as a shady reactionary and Kremlin pawn,” and turned him into “arguably the nation’s most popular politician.” Similar reports by Ukrainian news outlets described the range of Manafort’s political lobbying strategies and cited ECFMU documents that positioned the non-profit as a Party of Regions instrument of international influence. In March 2012, Ukrainska Pravda, one of Ukraine’s most influential mainstream news websites, published an ECFMU exposé that listed long-time Party of Regions MP Leonid Kozhara — who went on to become Yanukovych’s foreign minister in December of that year — as head of the ECFMU. The article also identifies two other prominent Party of Regions MPs, Evgen Geller and Vitaly Kalyzhny, as ECFMU founders. In a June 2012 interview with Kyiv-based Glavcom, Kozhara mentions the center’s financial dependence on government sources and describes its alignment with his government’s international objectives. Glavcom reporter: It is known that you have co-founded the European Center for a Modern Ukraine, which looks like it is busy with improving the image of Ukrainian authorities as related to the case of [then-imprisoned former Prime Minister Yulia] Tymoshenko. Is this so? ECFMU’s Kozhara: … When I received an invitation from Brussels to chair the European Center for a Modern Ukraine, I was honored. I saw it as an acknowledgment of my work. When asked about the sources of ECFMU financing, Kozhara said: “As all NGOs, we have membership fees, but business structures and government structures all give money. If they want to receive the assistance, they should pay membership fees.” In an August 2016 interview with VOA, Kozhara denied having ever held a position with the ECFMU, describing himself as an unpaid board member of various NGOs, of which ECFMU was but one. Manafort and Gates are accused of serving as unregistered foreign agents of Ukrainian interests in violation of Department of Justice registration requirements. Between them, Manafort and Gates controlled 12 domestic entities, 12 Cyprus-based entities and three other foreign entities, according to the indictment. In all, $75 million passed through the offshore accounts. Manafort is alleged to have laundered more than $18 million. Gates is accused of laundering more than $3 million from offshore accounts. Podesta Group founder Tony Podesta, a long-time Democratic Party fund-raiser and brother to former Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta, abruptly resigned from the group hours after the indictment was made public. John, who co-founded the group with his brother in 1988, has not been associated with the group since the 1990s and is not associated with the indictment. The Podesta Group lobbies on behalf of various foreign interests, including the governments of Azerbaijan and Saudi Arabia. It has also represented Sberbank, Russia’s largest bank. According to the New York Times, Mercury partner Michael McKeon issued a statement that the firm “takes its obligations to follow all laws, rules and regulations very seriously” and “has and will continue to fully cooperate with the Office of the Special Counsel in its investigation.” No charges have been brought against Tony Podesta, his former lobbying group or Mercury, but all have been subpoenaed for records and testimony regarding their work with Manafort, Gates and the ECFMU. This story originated in VOA’s Ukrainian Service.

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Parliament Asks Twitter About Russian Meddling in Brexit Vote

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Damian Collins, a British lawmaker, wrote in a letter to Twitter that some Russian-linked Twitter accounts “were also posting content that relates to the politics of the United Kingdom.”

Voice of America: US Lobbyists Missed Red Flags in Manafort-linked Contracts 

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Two U.S. firms caught up in the special counsel’s indictment against Paul Manafort claim to have been misled about the details of the former Trump campaign chairman’s lobbying efforts for Ukraine, but clear warning signals were readily available. Voice of America’s Ukrainian Service has turned up several U.S. and European news articles from 2007 to 2014, and spoken with Ukrainian politicians, that lay out connections between the Brussels-based non-profit that hired the firms and the then-ruling party in Ukraine — a key fact that the lobbying firms claim not to have known at the time. “Lobbyists should have examined available information carefully at the time of the engagement as a matter of know-your-client procedure,” said Gene Burd, a Washington-based international business partner with Arnall Golden Gregory LLP. He said the two firms — listed in the indictment as Company A and Company B, but recently identified as Mercury Public Affairs and The Podesta Group  —should also “have kept up with the changing management situation and sources of financing of the organization.” Manafort, who served as President Donald Trump’s campaign chairman for three months in 2016, was indicted in a U.S. federal court Monday on multiple charges including having failed to register as a lobbyist for a foreign government at a time when his firm was acting on behalf of then-Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych’s pro-Kremlin Party of Regions. The indictment describes that work as part of a “scheme” by Manafort and co-defendant Rick Gates to generate U.S. support for the party, which favored aligning Kyiv with Moscow instead of seeking European Union membership, as many Ukrainians advocated. The indictment says both lobbying groups were recruited by Manafort’s firm to act on behalf of a Brussels-based non-profit known as the European Center for a Modern Ukraine (ECFMU) from 2012 to 2014. It says the ECFMU was, in fact, a vehicle for advancing the interests of Yanukovych’s Party of Regions. Both firms deny that they knowingly engaged in an image-rehabilitation campaign for Yanukovych’s Party of Regions, as the indictment indicates. Their latest public statement reiterates their claim that they were led to believe they were working only for ECFMU, which they understood to be a pro-EU think tank that sought to inform U.S. government officials about Ukraine. Podesta Group CEO Kimberley Fritts told VOA’s Ukrainian Service in August 2016, when their undisclosed foreign lobbying efforts were first reported, that, relying on the opinion of in-house and external legal counsel, her organization lawfully represented ECFMU interests in the United States without registering under the U.S. Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA). “Because [our] firm was partnering with Mercury, [Podesta] in-house counsel coordinated with Mercury’s [in-house] counsel and Mercury’s outside legal counsel,” she was quoted as saying in an official statement emailed to VOA from the Podesta group. “Together, they concluded that LDA [Lobbying Disclosure Act] was the appropriate reporting route.” LDA registration is required of U.S. lobbyists representing business and non-governmental foreign interests such as cultural or educational organizations, whereas FARA’s more rigorous and legally binding registration disclosures are required to lobby on behalf of foreign governments or political parties. Fritts also told VOA that the two lobbying groups agreed to work for the ECFMU only after its director filed a written statement verifying that “none of the activities of the Center are directly or indirectly supervised, directed, controlled, financed or subsidized in whole or in part by a government of a foreign country or a foreign political party.” Former ECFMU director Ina Kirsch verified Fritts’ account of events, telling VOA that she personally assured Podesta and Mercury legal counsel that ECFMU “has never received any money from the Party of Regions, Ukrainian government or president,” and that it received funds from only private companies. Kirsch also said that ECFMU did not pay any money to the U.S. firms for their lobbying work. That claim is supported by Monday’s indictment, which states that “companies A and B,” which collectively received more than $2 million for their work, were paid not by the ECFMU, but from offshore bank accounts run by Manafort’s firm in Kyiv. “We believed [Manafort’s associate, Rick Gates, who introduced ECFMU to the Podesta Group] was working for [the ECFMU], as we were hired to do,” the Fritts statement said. However, an online search of news articles from 2007 to 2014 reveal Manafort’s role as Yanukovych’s principal strategist and identify the ECFMU as a vehicle of the Party of Regions. A 2007 New York Times report on then-prime minister Yanukovych, for example, portrayed Manafort as a “behind-the-scenes” impresario who had taken the “once divisive [Yanukovych], reviled by some [Ukrainians] as a shady reactionary and Kremlin pawn,” and turned him into “arguably the nation’s most popular politician.” Similar reports by Ukrainian news outlets described the range of Manafort’s political lobbying strategies and cited ECFMU documents that positioned the non-profit as a Party of Regions instrument of international influence. In March 2012, Ukrainska Pravda, one of Ukraine’s most influential mainstream news websites, published an ECFMU exposé that listed long-time Party of Regions MP Leonid Kozhara — who went on to become Yanukovych’s foreign minister in December of that year — as head of the ECFMU. The article also identifies two other prominent Party of Regions MPs, Evgen Geller and Vitaly Kalyzhny, as ECFMU founders. In a June 2012 interview with Kyiv-based Glavcom, Kozhara mentions the center’s financial dependence on government sources and describes its alignment with his government’s international objectives. Glavcom reporter: It is known that you have co-founded the European Center for a Modern Ukraine, which looks like it is busy with improving the image of Ukrainian authorities as related to the case of [then-imprisoned former Prime Minister Yulia] Tymoshenko. Is this so? ECFMU’s Kozhara: … When I received an invitation from Brussels to chair the European Center for a Modern Ukraine, I was honored. I saw it as an acknowledgment of my work. When asked about the sources of ECFMU financing, Kozhara said: “As all NGOs, we have membership fees, but business structures and government structures all give money. If they want to receive the assistance, they should pay membership fees.” In an August 2016 interview with VOA, Kozhara denied having ever held a position with the ECFMU, describing himself as an unpaid board member of various NGOs, of which ECFMU was but one. Manafort and Gates are accused of serving as unregistered foreign agents of Ukrainian interests in violation of Department of Justice registration requirements. Between them, Manafort and Gates controlled 12 domestic entities, 12 Cyprus-based entities and three other foreign entities, according to the indictment. In all, $75 million passed through the offshore accounts. Manafort is alleged to have laundered more than $18 million. Gates is accused of laundering more than $3 million from offshore accounts. Podesta Group founder Tony Podesta, a long-time Democratic Party fund-raiser and brother to former Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta, abruptly resigned from the group hours after the indictment was made public. John, who co-founded the group with his brother in 1988, has not been associated with the group since the 1990s and is not associated with the indictment. The Podesta Group lobbies on behalf of various foreign interests, including the governments of Azerbaijan and Saudi Arabia. It has also represented Sberbank, Russia’s largest bank. According to the New York Times, Mercury partner Michael McKeon issued a statement that the firm “takes its obligations to follow all laws, rules and regulations very seriously” and “has and will continue to fully cooperate with the Office of the Special Counsel in its investigation.” No charges have been brought against Tony Podesta, his former lobbying group or Mercury, but all have been subpoenaed for records and testimony regarding their work with Manafort, Gates and the ECFMU. This story originated in VOA’s Ukrainian Service.

 Voice of America

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Robert Mueller is targeting the Trump-Russia guy who could flip on Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump Jr 

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When it comes to the dominoes now falling in Donald Trump’s Russia scandal, it’s “every man for himself.” That’s a direct quote from an unnamed Trump campaign adviser who tells CBS News that Trump’s people are all turning on each other as they each try to cut a deal. Buried deeper in that same CBS report is the belief that a certain Trump-Russia figure may be on the verge of being arrested – and his only way out might be to flip on two of Donald Trump’s kids.

The report from CBS News lists seven names who are believed to be the next targets for Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Most of them are easy to figure out, based on various reporting that’s already surfaced: Michael Flynn and his son, Sam Clovis, Jared Kushner, Michael Cohen, and Carter Page (link). The seventh is a lesser known name: Felix Sater. He’s previously been convicted of money laundering in relation to the Russian mafia, and of stabbing a man in the face with a bar glass. But his real claim to fame is that he’s spent years doing major real estate deals with the Trump Organization.

To be clear, there is no specific publicly available evidence that Sater has committed any new crimes. However, one of the partnerships between Sater and the Trump Organization was a highly troubled project called Trump Soho. It’s long been widely suspected that the deal wasn’t on the up and up. It just so happens that the deal in question was reportedly spearheaded not by Donald Trump himself, but by Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump Jr.

If the Trump Soho deal is indeed as shady as it has long appeared, Robert Mueller may be able to convince Felix Sater to keep himself upright by testifying against Ivanka and Don Junior. So this particular line of investigation could end up getting two of Trump’s kids indicted or arrested.

The post Robert Mueller is targeting the Trump-Russia guy who could flip on Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump Jr appeared first on Palmer Report.

How cases of Paul Manafort and Sergei Magnitsky are linked: money laundering through Cyprus – CBC.ca

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CBC.ca
How cases of Paul Manafort and Sergei Magnitsky are linked: money laundering through Cyprus
CBC.ca
Angered by the U.S. government’s decision in 2012 to pass the Magnitsky Act, seizing the U.S.assets, and barring the travel of Russians connected to his death, Russian President Vladimir Putin retaliated by cancelling the pending adoptions of Russian …and more »

Trumpers couldn’t care less about indictments – Times-Enterprise

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The Inquisitr
Trumpers couldn’t care less about indictments
Times-Enterprise
… some recent polls have reported that as high as 48 percent of Americans want him to be impeached. But alas, the traditional political metrics no longer apply. Putin’s useful idiot, the beneficiary of Russia’s unprecedented intervention in our 
The indictment is more exculpatory than incriminatory of Trump.National Review
Trump Belittles George Papadopoulos as ‘Low Level’ AdviserNew York Times
The Russia Story So Far…NBCNews.com
The Inquisitr
all 6,626 news articles »

The Bushes — father and son — unload on Donald Trump in new book – USA TODAY

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USA TODAY
The Bushes — father and son — unload on Donald Trump in new book
USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — In case you’ve forgotten: the Bushes are not fans of the Donald. Former Presidents George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush are going public with harsh criticisms of President Trump in a new book, according to published reports. The elder …
Both Bush Presidents Worry Trump Is Blowing Up the GOPNew York Timesall 80 news articles »

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Will Trump and Putin Meet Soon? The US Administration Says a Big Sit-Down Could Happen Next Week – Newsweek

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Newsweek
Will Trump and Putin Meet Soon? The US Administration Says a Big Sit-Down Could Happen Next Week
Newsweek
President Donald Trump’s second parlay with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin could happen in a matter of days, as the Kremlin confirmed they are working to set up a meeting next week. “We are not ruling out the possibility of such a meeting happening 
As Russia investigation heats up in the US, Trump and Putin may soon meetWashington Post
Trump and Putin Explore Meeting on Sidelines of Asia SummitNew York Times
PutinTrump may meet next week at APEC summitReuters
New York Post –Washington Post
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3:29 PM 11/4/2017 – Papadopoulos Is The Big One,” Not Manafort, Ex CIA Director Michael Hayden Say 

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Trump Investigations News Review Trump Investigations from mikenova (20 sites) 1. Trump from mikenova (195 sites): Russia influence in Eastern Europe – Google News: US Policy Towards Iran’s Economic Reintegration – Modern Diplomacy 1. Trump from mikenova (195 sites): Elections 2016 Investigation – Google News: FBI Gives Senate Hillary Memos Over Comey’s Handling Of Clinton … Continue reading “3:29 PM 11/4/2017 – Papadopoulos Is The Big One,” Not Manafort, Ex CIA Director Michael Hayden Say”

Papadopoulos Is “The Big One,” Not Manafort, Ex CIA Director Michael Hayden Says

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White House scandals have a way of turning nobodies into unfortunate somebodies. So it was 45 years ago in October with Donald Segretti, whom The Washington Post exposed as a major cog in a White House dirty tricks program to destroy Maine Senator Ed Muskie, the leading Democratic candidate for president. Segretti’s reported role added startling new context to what became known as the Watergate scandal. It showed that the June 1972 break-in of the Democratic National Committee was part of a much larger campaign of surveillance and sabotage against targets on President Richard Nixon’s “enemies list”—from reporters to liberal think tanks to dissident government officials like Daniel Ellsberg, who leaked the Pentagon Papers.

Now comes George Papadopoulos, another nobody whose name could soon be memorialized on a Trivial Pursuit card for political scandals. The 30-year-old was yet another enabler in the Kremlin’s multipronged campaign to destroy Hillary Clinton, according to the grand jury indictment unsealed by special counsel Robert Mueller on October 30. Donald Trump once called Papadopoulos, his former foreign policy adviser, “an excellent guy,” but now dismisses him as “a low-level volunteer” and a “liar.”

Not so much, judging by his guilty plea. With that, Papadopoulos became just the latest name to surface in the widening list of Trump associates under scrutiny by the special counsel—including former campaign chair Paul Manafort and his business associate Rick Gates; Trump’s erstwhile national security adviser Michael Flynn; and oil consultant and Trump foreign policy adviser Carter Page (who met with Russians close to President Vladimir Putin, according to the controversial dossiercompiled by former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele). Page has denied any collusion with Kremlin figures and said he has nothing to fear from Mueller’s probe. Manafort and Gates pleaded not guilty after they were arrested on money-laundering and other charges a few hours before the Papadopoulos indictment and plea deal were unsealed.

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Former FBI Director Robert Mueller (front), the special counsel probing Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election, leaves the Capitol building after meeting with the Senate Judiciary Committee on Capitol Hill. Robert Mueller meets with Senate Judiciary Committee, Washington DC, USA – 21 Jun 2017 Xinhua/REX/Shutterstock

“The big one is the Papadopoulos thing,” former CIA and National Security Agency Director Michael Hayden told me hours after the Manafort-Gates arraignments, following a Washington, D.C., panel he led on “Truth Tellers in the Bunker,” a reference to both the media and intelligence agencies that have reported on Russian interference in the 2016 election.

For Hayden, the Papadopoulos indictment underscored yet again how eager Team Trump was to collude with the Kremlin when its emissaries came bearing gifts of Clinton “dirt.” Over the past year, Trump and his associates had repeatedly dismissed such interactions and their failures to report them as mere oversights. Before Papadopoulos, the most damning case had been a meeting between Donald Trump Jr., Jared Kushner, Manafort and a Kremlin-connected lawyer, Natalia Veselnitskaya. The meeting occurred after an intermediary promised Trump Jr. documents that “would incriminate Hillary and her dealings with Russia.” (“If it’s what you say,” Trump Jr. replied, “I love it.”) At first, Trump Jr. denied a report of the meeting. Later, he insisted that “no details or supporting information was provided or even offered.”

Likewise, top Trump campaign aide and current U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions told Congress under oath in June that he had “no knowledge” of any conversations by anyone connected to Team Trump about “any type of [Russian] interference with any campaign.” Later, The Washington Postreported that Sessions had failed to disclose two contacts with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak during the presidential race. Four days after the Papadopoulos plea deal surfaced, NBC reported that Sessions and Trump had both heard out a proposal from their young foreign policy adviser in March 2016 to use his “Russian contacts” to try to set up a meeting between the candidate and Putin. Sessions “rejected” the idea, NBC said. “Trump didn’t say yes and he didn’t say no,” CNN reported, citing “a person in the room” during the meeting. Asked about that as he prepared to leave for his Asia swing on November 3, Trump told reporters he “didn’t remember much” about the meeting, which he called “unimportant.”

Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL) is sworn in before the Senate Judiciary Committee during his confirmation hearing to be the U.S. attorney general January 10, 2017 in Washington, DC. Sessions was one of the first members of Congress to endorse and support President-elect Donald Trump, who nominated him for Attorney General. Chip Somodevilla/Getty

Mueller may yet get a chance to refresh the president’s memory. He has Papadopoulos’s sworn statements that a Trump campaign official encouraged him to pursue Russian “dirt.” That person was unnamed in the Papadopoulos indictment but soon outed by The Washington Post as Sam Clovis, a former conservative talk radio host and co-chair of the 2016 Trump campaign. A self-proclaimed former “Russia expert while serving in the United States military in the Pentagon,” Clovis withdrew his name from consideration for a top Agriculture Department post after his conversations with Papadopoulos were revealed.

Instead of recognizing the Russian offers as a classic enemy intelligence ploy—and calling the FBI—Trump’s minions welcomed alleged Kremlin agents into their inner circle. “How stupid can you be?” Hayden said of the campaign’s actions.

George Papadopoulos and Dr. Michael Katehakis- Distinguished Professor and Department Chair, Management Science & Information Systems at Rutgers University, on Sunday, November 6, 2016 at a pre-election meeting at the Stathakion Center in Astoria, NY. Εθνικός Κήρυξ/The National Herald/Kosta Bej

Getting access to Team Trump was a big score for Putin, an ex-KGB officer, says former CIA officer Jason Matthews, who served in Moscow and did battle with its secret agents for decades. “Just like the meeting with Donald Trump Jr. and the female Russian lawyer, the goal of these encounters was simply contact,” he explains in an email. “Of course, there was an element of baiting”—the Russians offered “thousands” of Clinton emails to Papadopoulos—“but Kremlin expectations for such meetings were modest. They just wanted to assess young, inexperienced green sticks like the Trump boys, Jared Kushner and Papadopoulos. The name of the game is assessment and looking for an opening.”

Matthews, now a spy novelist, says the Russians didn’t expect to damage Clinton enough to tilt the election to Trump. “They simply wanted to put a turd in the punch bowl” by getting private audiences with associates of the New York real estate mogul. All the better for the Russians that their discreet meetings with Trump’s people, who failed to report them on their security-clearance forms, were leaked to the press. Emails showing the supposedly neutral Democratic National Committee favoring Clintonover Senator Bernie Sanders, stolen by Russian hackers and published by WikiLeaks, sowed further disenchantment with American politics. Reports of Kremlin agents messing with voters’ heads via Facebook in Michigan, Wisconsin and elsewhere added yet another layer of distrust in the system. And now comes evidence that the Kremlin’s manipulation of Facebook, Twitter and other social media platforms was far faster than previously known.

Carter Page, former foreign policy adviser for the Trump campaign, speaks to the media after testifying before the House Intelligence Committee on November 2, 2017 in Washington, DC. The committee is conducting an investigation into Russia’s tampering in the 2016 election. Mark Wilson/Getty

“It’s the greatest covert influence program in history,” Hayden said. “If their goal was to make our society more dysfunctional, to exploit the dysfunction in American society, they succeeded.” If their goal was “to foster the notion that there are fundamentally no differences between their system and our system, they succeeded.”

But Putin’s influence campaign backfired in other ways, Hayden told me. “If their plan was to get someone into office who would warm relations between us and Moscow, that was a disaster.” The scandal not only handcuffed Trump from acting on his oft-stated desire to have closer relations with Moscow, but also prompted Congress to pass more sanctions against Russia and some of its leading officials and businessmen. Seen from that angle, Putin’s triumph looks self-defeating, says Nina Khrushcheva, a professor of international relations at the New School in New York City and the great-granddaughter of former Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev. “I am not sure he is a big winner, actually—maybe in a small, tactical way,” she says. “It was a dream of all Soviets before him—to embarrass and undermine the U.S., so he proved his point.”

To Putin and his circle, “Russia’s relationship with the West is a zero-sum game,” the Russian-born journalist Leonid Bershidsky observed earlier this year. If America is succeeding, then Russia must be losing. Thus, Putin has tried to stoke political disarray in the United States with a variety of ploys, ranging from compromising Trump’s aides with Kremlin meetings to flooding Facebook and Twitter with fake news fanning racial divisions.

In this photo provided by the German Government Press Office (BPA) Donald Trump, President of the USA (left), meets Vladimir Putin, President of Russia (right), at the opening of the G20 summit on July 7, 2017 in Hamburg, Germany. The G20 group of nations are meeting July 7-8 and major topics will include climate change and migration Steffen Kugler /BPA/Getty

But he may come to regret it, Khrushcheva argues. “He needs U.S. power. He needs cooperation in so many areas across the globe,” she says. “[Putin] can’t possibly think that taking down the U.S. fully is good for him or the world.” ”

That’s why Papadopoulos, a 2009 college graduate who listed his participation with the Model U.N. as foreign policy experience on his résumé, may pose a threat to both Russia and Trump. His cooperation with the feds—perhaps for several months—gave Mueller a pipeline into much of what Trump and his advisers were saying and doing about the Russians in private.

A hint of those conversations has already emerged, in the form of an email Papadopoulos sent to his Kremlin-linked contact in July, which Bloomberg News discovered in an FBI affidavit supporting the charges against the young man. Papadopoulos wrote that a meeting between “my national chairman and maybe one other foreign policy adviser” with the Russians “has been approved by our side.” Manafort was not named in the email, but he was Trump’s national campaign chairman at the time. The candidate’s top foreign policy advisers then were Sessions and Flynn, the former Defense Intelligence Agency chief who had developed ties with Moscow’s ambassador to the U.S. and its state-backed Russia Today TV channel.

Richard Gates arrives at the Prettyman Federal Court Building for a hearing November 2, 2017 in Washington, DC. Gates and former business partner and former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort both pleaded not guilty Monday to a 12-charge indictment that included money laundering and conspiracy. Chip Somodevilla/Getty

It’s unclear if Papadopoulos’s account in that email was correct, but his cooperation with the feds appears to incinerate over a year’s worth of assertions by the president that he had “nothing to do with the Russians.”

“Indeed, when the history books are written on the Trump-Russia investigation, it’s quite likely that the plea deal between special counsel Robert Mueller and…George Papadopoulos may be seen as the crucial moment,” Boston Globe columnist Michael Cohen wrote. “This is the first piece of [official] evidence that there was an ongoing effort within the Trump campaign to collude with the Russian government.”

That Trump’s associates were so careless in meeting with agents of a hostile power astonishes Hayden, who called it national security “malpractice.” Papadopoulos’s engagement with Kremlin emissaries was, “at best, reckless,” says a former CIA Russia analyst, who asked for anonymity in exchange for discussing such a sensitive issue. The young, inexperienced player “didn’t realize how potentially dangerous this situation was, both in a counterintelligence sense and in the sense of political optics back in the United States,” says the analyst, a longtime student of the espionage wars between Moscow and Washington.

Papadopoulos at first lied to FBI agents about his Russia contacts—another amateur move, which resulted in his indictment. But now that he’s talking, he likely won’t do much time. In that, he’s very much like Segretti, the Nixon trickster who ended up serving four months of a six-month sentence after he pleaded guilty to three charges of distributing illegal campaign literature.

In the mid-1990s, Segretti, a lawyer, ran for a judgeship in Orange County, California, where his Watergate notoriety trailed him. “The reaction to his candidacy was so negative that he decided to drop out,” the Los Angeles Times reported.

The only thing people “wanted to talk about,” Segretti told the paper, “was Nixon and Watergate.”

So it will likely go for George Papadopoulos. Only three weeks ago, the young man was looking for “a prominent publisher” on his LinkedIn page. As it turned out, however, he’d already told his story to the feds. One possible title? “Dupe.”

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McConnell: No need to pass bills to protect Mueller – Politico

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Politico
McConnell: No need to pass bills to protect Mueller
Politico
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said on Saturday that special counsel Robert Mueller is not in need of congressional protection from President Donald Trump. “I don’t hear much pressure to pass anything,” McConnell told MSNBC’s Hugh Hewitt.
McConnell: ‘I don’t hear much pressure’ to pass bill protecting Mueller from TrumpThe Hill
McConnell says Congress doesn’t need to pass legislation to protect MuellerBusiness Insider
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said tech should cooperate with law enforcement — and help the US fight …Recode
Breitbart News –The Week Magazine –Washington Examiner
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3 Ways To Think About What Mattered In The Deluge Of Political News This Week – NPR

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NPR
3 Ways To Think About What Mattered In The Deluge Of Political News This Week
NPR
Updated at 12:36 p.m. ET. The week started with “legal shock and awe,” as Carrie Johnson, NPR’s Justice correspondent described it on the PBS NewsHour. After A Day Of Legal Shock And Awe, What’s Next For The Mueller Investigation?
The Sleazy Case Against Mueller’s ProbeNew York Timesall 1,137 news articles »


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